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Posted by Nelayan Forex On April - 23 - 2013

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Forecast EJ - Technical Analysis Week 20130701

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 6/30/2013 12:23:00 AM 0 comments
By FX Empire Analyst - Christopher Lewis: 

eurjpyWEEK

The EUR/JPY pair initially fell during the course of the week, but as you can see we bounced significantly in order to form a hammer. The hammer is just underneath the 130 handle, which if we can break above that, we think that this is a nice buy signal. There is a bit of resistance above, but we think eventually will be taken out, and as a result we think the longer-term trade is deftly to the upside in this market. Obviously with the Bank of Japan working against the value the Yen, we have no interest in selling this market.

Forecast EJ - Technical Analysis Week 20130624

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 6/23/2013 05:22:00 PM 0 comments
By FX Empire Analyst - Christopher Lewis: 

eurjpyWEEK

The EUR/JPY pair attempted to break above the 130 handle again over the last week, but as you can see failed. The matter fact, on the daily chart we have two shooting stars in a row and this of course shows more weakness in them the weekly chart by itself shows. That being the case, we are simply going to wait and hope that this market pulled back to the 125 handle yen, which is an excellent place to start buying. If we get that move, we won’t hesitate on signs of support to start getting long.

CLICK FOR DETAILS AND VIDEO EXPLANATION

EUR/JPY: Your Very Own Barometer of Risk

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 6/21/2013 01:11:00 AM 0 comments

In order for someone to invest in a particular stock market, one would need the local currency in order to purchase stocks.
You can imagine what the effect of stock markets like the DAX (that's the German stock market), have on currencies.
In theory, whenever the DAX rises, we can probably expect the euro to rise as well, as investors need to get a hand on some euros.
While the correlation is imperfect, statistics show that it still holds pretty accurately.
We here at BabyPips.com did a little research of our own and found out that EUR/JPY seems to be highly correlated with stock markets across the globe. You should know that the yen, along with the U.S. dollar, are considered to be safe havens amongst the major currencies.
Whenever confidence in the global economy is down and traders are fearful, we typically see traders take their money out of the stock markets, which leads to a drop in the values of the DAX and S&P500.
With money flowing out of these markets, we usually see EUR/JPY fall as traders run for cover. On the flip side, when the sun is bright and risk appetite is rampant, investors pour their money into stock markets, which in turns leads to a rise in the EUR/JPY.
Take a look at charts below to see the correlation between the EUR/JPY and the DAX and S&P500.
Positive correlation of S&P 500 and EUR/JPY
Positive correlation of DAX and EUR/JPY
The correlation seems to have held well this past decade, as EUR/JPY and both indexes rose steadily together, until 2008, when we were hit with the financial crisis. In late 2007, EUR/JPY had hit its peak, and so did the stock indexes.
If you want to see the raw data for yourself, check out Yahoo! Finance
This a great place to start digging and doing your own research.
The site offers historical price data for almost all currency pairs and equity markets.
You can compare historical prices and come up with your own barometers of risk.


Intermarket Analysis Cheat Sheet

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 6/21/2013 01:01:00 AM 0 comments

That's a lot of inter-market correlations to remember so let's do a quick recap. The price action of currencies is often driven by their relationship with commodities, bonds, and stock indices.
Here's a neat one-page cheat sheet for you to bookmark and make it easy for you!
IfThenWhy
GoldUSDDuring times of economic unrest, investors tend to dump the dollar in favor of gold. Unlike other assets, gold maintains its intrinsic value.
GoldAUD/USDAustralia is the third biggest gold producer in the world, sailing out about $5 billion worth a year.
GoldNZD/USDNew Zealand (rank 25) is also a large producer of gold.
GoldUSD/CHF25% of Switzerland's reserves are backed by gold. As gold prices goes up, the pair moves down (CHF is bought).
GoldUSD/CADCanada is the 5th largest producer of gold in the world. As gold price goes up, the pair tends to move down (CAD is bought).
OilUSD/CADCanada is one of the top oil producers in the world. It exports around 2 million barrels of oil a day to the U.S. As oil prices goes up, the pair moves down.
GoldEUR/USDSince both gold and euro are considered "anti-dollars," if the price of gold goes up, EUR/USD may go up as well.
Bond yieldsLocal CurrencyAn economy that offer higher returns on its bonds attract more investments. This makes its local currency more attractive than that of another economy offering lower returns on its bonds.
DowNikkeiThe performance of the U.S. economy is closely tied with Japan.
NikkeiUSD/JPYInvestors consider the yen as a safe-haven and tend to seek it during periods of economic distress.


Read more: http://www.babypips.com/school/intermarket-analysis-cheat-sheet.html#ixzz2WmAnYL9r


Forecast EJ - Technical Analysis Week 20130617

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 6/17/2013 04:22:00 PM 0 comments
By FX Empire Analyst - Christopher Lewis: 

eurjpyWEEK

The EUR/JPY pair fell hard after initially trying to rally during the week, in order to slam into the 125 handle. The 125 handle of course is very important, as it was significant resistance back in February and March, and now has been retested several times. All of the yen related pairs have been absolutely erratic, and quite frankly dangerous lately. This of course includes this pair, and as a result a lot of accounts probably got smoked this past week.
However, if there was ever an obvious place for support, the one 25 handle in this market is definitely it. The closing of the week towards the low of the range of course is a bit disconcerting, but quite frankly if we can get some type of supportive candle right around the 125 handle, we wouldn’t hesitate to start buying. It’s difficult to imagine that it will be based off of the weekly chart, so you may have to look towards the shorter-term charts such as the daily, or possibly even the four-hour chart in order to find that signal. Nonetheless, you can still use those shorter timeframe charts in order to find entry points on the longer-term trend.
If we managed to break down below the 125 handle, I would anticipate that the 120 handle would be almost impossible to overcome by the sellers. That is because there is so much noise between 125 and 120, they would take something extraordinarily bearish to happen in order for that was to occur. In fact, under the 120 handle the Bank of Japan would more than likely make its intentions known again by intervening.
Going forward, we fully expect to see this pair return to its bullish ways, but we have definitely stirred up a storm of volatility lately. For those that are patient enough to wait for the right signal, we believe that this market will continue higher, and that 135 handle will be targeted. As far as selling is concerned, we just cannot do it with the Bank of Japan out there waiting to intervene in case of a real meltdown.

FURTHER DETAIL ANALYSIS INSIDE

Forecast EJ - Technical Analysis Week 20130610

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 6/11/2013 04:06:00 AM 0 comments
By FX Empire Analyst - Christopher Lewis: 

eurjpyWEEK

The EUR/JPY pair formed a hammer for the week, and as a result it looks like the market is primed to start going higher again. I frankly, as the Yen had sold off drastically in the middle of the week, a lot of people have stepped in to take advantage of weakness and a market that is without a doubt very strong overall. Going forward, we fully expect this market continue higher, and believe that a breakout is imminent. Nonetheless, expect a lot of volatility above the top of the week’s range, as we would be plowing directly into a shooting star.

CLICK HERE FOR DETAILS AND VIDEO EXPLANATION


Weekend Retreat: Sultans of Science Exhibition

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 6/11/2013 02:54:00 AM 0 comments

Event: Sultans of Science Exhibition - Islamic Science Rediscovered
(till 15th June 2013)
Venue: Petrosains, KLCC
Visiting: 8th June 2013 (3.00 - 5.00pm)

Sultans of Science Exhibition
- click here for video -

Another Millionaire Trader by InstaForex - Sergei Kovalenko

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 6/07/2013 03:46:00 AM 0 comments

InstaForex has already proven itself as one of the best brokers worldwide. Numerous prizes and awards, more than a million accounts of clients from all over the world – that is the best evidence of broker's merits. Every day we diligently improve our services to make trading with InstaForex not only comfortable but also beneficial. That is why high achievements of our clients are the best award for the company.

Recently we told about an astounding success of trader millionaire Akhmad Arief who managed to earn $1,000,000 just in two weeks. And now the story repeats, but this time the Lady Luck has picked up Sergei Kovalenko from Belarus. He has not only achieved Akhmad’s record but even improved it up to $1,500,000!
The chart depicts the dynamics of Sergei’s trading balance. Since November 13, 2012 and within two weeks the trader was demonstrating a stable increase in profit. Later there were some insignificant losses and then an incredible hike in earnings during the first days of December. As of December 4, at 17:00 the balance hit $1,464,992.92 million. The rest of the month was more or less successful for Sergei but at the end of December the profit was lost.
"Prolonged and laborious work eventually helped me to successfully enter the market and take profit. Of course, I have made many mistakes, but now I have got a deeper understanding of my actions; I can rationally consider my abilities and knowledge. As the result, I have new goals!" - Sergei shares his impressions.
Unfortunately, new millionaire could not keep the victory for long and quite soon the balance started to decrease and the cherished sum of money was lost. However, Sergei is not in despair, he is analyzing his actions and is getting ready to conquer another high of $2,000,000.
"The luck is short-lived, you cannot count on it - only work, studies and understanding the market can bring good results. I have experienced that myself."
InstaForex wishes Sergei to achieve new goals. We hope that every company’s client will find the way to successful trading gaining full support from InstaForex.
С InstaForex миллионером может стать каждый!Sergei's Kovalenko Interview
InstaForex: How long have you been on Forex?
Sergei: I started my way on Forex in late 2004 after hefty losses within HYIPs. By the way, I’m still studying; I keep attending various training courses, etc. Trading is not a game for me, but a job.
InstaForex: Which trading platform do you employ?
Sergei: I mostly trade using MetaTrader 4.
InstaForex: Do you pay attention to analytical reviews when trading?
Sergei: Yes, I definitely do. I actually mull over plenty of information before I decide to open a trade. All factors matter, even those related to astrology.
InstaForex: What leverage do you trade with?
Sergei: Leverage depends on the amount of your deposit. As a rule, I start with the largest leverage possible with my broker.
InstaForex: How could you explain the fact that you made a fortune with a relatively small initial deposit?
Sergei: It’s a result of a daily grind. Thanks to hard work, I managed to successfully enter the market and lock the profit in. I did make a lot of mistakes, but through time I have grown more aware, concentrated. Moreover, I have developed a sober mind, the ability to give my skills and knowledge realistic estimates. Now I’ve got new aims ahead! My nearest target is earning $2 million.
InstaForex: Which currency pairs do you prefer and why?
Sergei: I trade eight currency pairs. This quantity of currency instruments suits me best, as I have enough time to make profound analysis and build some forecasts. But I only enter the market if there’s a clear signal and the time and
date coincide for a certain pair.
InstaForex: Which indicators do you rely on?
Sergei: I’m one of the Gann masters at the online academy, so I prefer Gann methods.
InstaForex: What timeframe do you usually choose?
Sergei: Basically, I opt for H1.
InstaForex: Is this sum exactly what you had planned to earn at
the very start?
Sergei: Of course, it’s not. After I lost around $150,000 in HYIPs, my only dream was to pay the debts. But very soon, in summer of 2012, I could make as much as $450,000. And that was when I set my first aim — $1 million. I hit it in
December.
InstaForex: You made huge accomplishment indeed. How do you feel about the loss? What conclusions did you draw?
Sergei: My conclusions are as follows: mistakes are great lessons to learn; never give up and rush forwards with your head cool! As for the loss, what can I say... It frustrated me of course, but what makes me glad and proud is the fact that I DID IT!!! And I will do it again!
InstaForex: Will you go through it all again?
Sergei: No doubt, YES!
InstaForex: If you succeed once again, what will you spend the money on?
Sergei: I will dedicate it to charity. I own a house in Cyprus, and I already bought a house for my parents too. So, I don’t need anything for myself.
InstaForex: What do you think help traders to make money on Forex ― years of practical experience or luck?
Sergei: Luck is evasive; it is not worth relying on. Good results are fuelled by hard work, studying and understanding the market. This is what I realized after years of trading.
InstaForex: Do you consider your profit to be a result of hard work or just a fluke?
Sergei: I don’t mean to brag, but I think it’s the fruit of my labour.
InstaForex: What would you advise beginners to do?
Sergei: First of all, get rid of illusions like "I will become rich with $100". You really need to study the basics of the currency market and find a good teacher, an expert in trading! Jokes aside, all you need is love trading. As a financier, I’m fond of figures. This realm is my vocation. And I wish everyone to enjoy the job!

_________________________________________________________
The above original article can be found here:
https://cabinet.instaforex.com/partner/sk/news/company_news/1/3207

Forecast EJ - Technical Analysis Week 20130603

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 6/03/2013 12:56:00 PM 0 comments
By FX Empire Analyst - Christopher Lewis: 

The EUR/JPY pair initially rallied during the week, but as you can see it fell enough to form a shooting star. However, this shooting star sits on top of the 130 handle, an area of extreme support in this market. Because of this, we don’t feel that this market is necessarily going to fall apart at this point, rather we will find a bit of a grinder going forward.
That isn’t exactly a stretch of imagination anyway, as the market has been so parabolic it really does need to rest from time to time. Looking at the longer-term charts though, we can still make a case for the 150 level based upon a bullish flag that was broken out of earlier this year, we still think that will eventually be what happens.
There will be back from time to time, and we could essentially pullback from here, but we find that there should be far too much support between here and 128 or so to let the market fall much farther than that. Also, it should be noted that the Euro picked up a little bit of strength against the US dollar during the week, and that should bode well for this pair as well.
The Bank of Japan will continue to work against the value of the Yen, and as a result this market will eventually go higher. Perhaps the pullback gives us an opportunity to buy a bit cheaper, but again as I said before, we do not expect much in the way of pullback. We may get as low as 128, but below there it’s a bit difficult to imagine at this point.
A supportive candle will be more than enough reason for us to start buying, and we would use either the daily or weekly charts to enter the market. A break of the high from the previous week is obviously a bullish sign, but quite frankly we are willing to buy any signs of support at all in this market as it has been so bullish for so long.

Azam...

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 6/01/2013 01:53:00 AM 0 comments

Chart EURJPY, M30, 2013.05.31, InstaForex Group, MetaTrader 4, Real

Malam semakin larut. Hakikatnya embun dini hari sudah semakin kasar menitis ke bumi. Lantai bot kecil Azam juga turut basah didakap embun jantan bercampur percikan air laut yang sesekali tersimbah ke atasnya.

Azam sejenak termenung jauh sambil memerhati pukat hanyut yang dilabuhkan di sisi buritan bot. Fikirannya melayang jauh. Sesekali dia menarik nafas dalam-dalam sebaik sesak di dada terasa nyilu menikam. Fikirannya sama kusut sebenarnya. Tidak setenang laut yang semakin tua memandangkan hanya beberapa jam sahaja lagi pasaran Lautan Forex di New York bakal melabuhkan tirai mingguan.

Mampukah aku?

Soalan demi soalan tertubi ke benak otak. Namun akal fikirnya terlalu kusut mengenangkan keupayaan dan pencapaian diri sejak sekian lama bernelayan. Hari ini adalah hari terakhir untuknya mencapai perancangan impian. Yang pasti, dia gagal lagi buat kesekian kalinya. Susuk-susuk tubuh yang selama ini setia bersama semakin lama semakin 'minggir'. Lalu aku yang terpinggir, getus hati kecilnya.

Mengapa masih belum tercapai?

Muncul lagi soalan menikam fikiran. Kalbu sudah semakin beku. Harapan sudah semakin sirna. Kegigihan rupa-rupanya tidak cukup walaupun ilmu dan amal dibawa sekali. Nasib? Tuah? Arghh... bukankah kita orang Islam. Nasib dan tuah bertempat batil dalam agama suci ini.

Maka, hati dan fikirnya menyimpul bicara. Rupanya Yang Maha Esa masih belum melayakkannya menerima 'hadiah' itu.

Lantas soalan tanpa jawapan kembali menikam diamnya,
Mengapa aku masih belum layak, Ya ALLAH...

Astaghfirullah...


    JUTAWAN FOREX at INSTAFOREX GRAND DINNER Kuala Lumpur, 2012 HUKUM FOREX by USTAZ AHMAD DUSUKI ABDUL RANI Masjid Negeri Selangor, Kuliah 11 April 2013

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