Nelayan Forex Traderlog

Humbly Present: INSTAFOREX WORLD

Posted by Nelayan Forex On April - 23 - 2013

Your dedicated compact linkage page to InstaForex - the best broker in Asia!

Posted by Author On Month - Day - Year

POST-TITLE-HERE

Posted by Author On Month - Day - Year

POST-SUMMARY-HERE

POST-TITLE-HERE

Posted by Author On Month - Day - Year

POST-SUMMARY-HERE

POST-TITLE-HERE

Posted by Author On Month - Day - Year

POST-SUMMARY-HERE

Article: FX Inside Traders Accusations

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 4/17/2015 12:08:00 AM 0 comments

FOREX MARKET

Word’s best inside FX traders

insider trading, AUDUSD, Reserve Bank of Australia, ASIC, Australian Dollar
The Australian financial regulator ASIC   launched an investigation into the 'suspicious trading' responsible for the jump in the AUDUSD just prior to the release of the Reserve bank of Australia surprise decision to hold interest rates in March 3. On April 7 the Reserve Bank of Australia again surprised the market by holding rates. In the minute prior to the report release the market also reacted strongly. The financial regulator ASIC suggested this was evidence of inside trading. But is it really?
Closer examination of the charts casts a better light on this so-called inside trading activity.
The pair in focus is the AUDUSD. Here's the chart for March 3.  Quite clearly there is a sharp move before the release of the report.  The release time is shown as 13.00 on the 2 minute chart because  we use local time on our computer system.
insider trading, AUDUSD, Reserve Bank of Australia, ASIC, Australian Dollar
insider trading, AUDUSD, Reserve Bank of Australia, ASIC, Australian Dollar
Ok, the major pairs often move together but note the move is not exactly the same as the AUDUSD pair.   What happens with the smaller crosses? These CAD and HKD pairs show similar reactions, although the correction following the  release is much greater than in the previous charts. Also there is more volume increase in the AUDCAD pair than the AUDHKD pair in the lead-up to the report release.
insider trading, AUDUSD, Reserve Bank of Australia, ASIC, Australian Dollar
By now it's going to come as no surprise when the minor currencies like the AUDSGD cross behave in much the same way. However the doji candle pattern with AUDNZD is quite different from the AUDUSD pair and this shows the charts are created in response to completed trades.
Compare the March 3 charts to the release of Australian Reserve bank reports on April 7. The one minute charts from Oanda use our local time, so the official release of the Reserve  bank decision is at 14:00. On every one minute chart the market moves dramatically at 13.59 in the minute before the official release of the decision.
insider trading, AUDUSD, Reserve Bank of Australia, ASIC, Australian Dollar

AUDUSD

The Oanda 5 second chart for AUDUSD shows the move started at 13:59:50. The move is duplicated  on all AUD pairs. By 14:00 all that was left was for the market to digest what had already happened and price activity moved sideways.
The same pattern is repeated on the 5 second chart for the AUDJPY, AUDCAD and AUDSGD pairs.
insider trading, AUDUSD, Reserve Bank of Australia, ASIC, Australian Dollar

EUR/AUD

The EURAUD 5 second chart shows exactly the same pattern. The pattern  is repeated on the GBPAUD chart
For inside trading to be present we would have to see a significant move in one or two crosses prior to 14:00 AND prior to the broad market move at 13:59. This does not happen.
Australia  must have the world's best FX inside traders to be able to take such large positions in every AUD pair at exactly the same time! We take our hats are off to these traders because they have achieved the impossible.
Of course that explanation is plain garbage. A single inside trader might trade one pair, but it is highly unlikely they would have the inclination or the resources to trade EVERY AUD pair.
The exact replication of the fast up move in all AUD pairs in the 2 minutes or 10 seconds  prior to the official  release of the information is not best explained  by inside trading. It is more reasonably explained by the early loading of Reserve Bank information to servers prior to the official release of the data. This is a global market reacting instantly to information as it becomes available to ALL PARTICIPANTS.
The charts clearly show that the Reserve bank information became available to many participants  in the minute prior to the official release time.  These moves are captured across all pairs by High Frequency Quantitative Trading Algorithms. They have algorithms running in the Dark Pools. These are on the institutional side, not the mums and dads.
The charts clearly suggest that the problem is in the way the Reserve bank loads this data to the web in preparation for its official  release. The duplication of behaviour across all AUD pairs shows this information is available to many, if not all, participants at the same time. It's time to call of the FX witch hunt.
The FX market is the deepest and most liquid market in the world. It is arguably the most closely watched and monitored. This intense scrutiny makes it difficult to conduct inside trading. The real concern in the markets associated with the FX market is the manipulation of benchmark interest rates. That task is best left to the banks and other institutions  who manipulated LIBOR interest rates and other benchmarks in 2008  and onwards.
Dary Guppy
Founder and Director
Guppytraders.com

Credit: FX Trader Magazine

Reactions: 

Nota Forex?

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 4/16/2015 11:50:00 AM 0 comments


Salam..

Lama tersangat dah tak menulis 'hal hati' di sini. Paling-paling pun sekadar pop-up entries untuk Daily Signal dan beberapa 'hal minda' berkaitan trading.

Minta maaf. Memang tersangat sibuk sekarang.. Menguruskan urusan seharian di samping terutamanya hal perasaan diri yang 'tersayat'. Mmmm.. tak nak komen panjang fasal ni. Personal sangat.

Okaylah. Sebenarnya entry ni khas ditujukan kepada beberapa readers yang requested untuk bahan-bahan pembelajaran yang melibatkan Nelayan Methods dan Seagull's Eye. Banyak sangat email sampai ambil keputusan tulis di sini sahaja. Senang. Semua pun nampak dan boleh baca tanpa prejudis.

Ramai yang minta bahan-bahan pembelajaran bertulis yang lengkap dan tersusun.

Sebetulnya, bahan-bahan pembelajaran yang diminta memang belum tersusun. Sebab memang tak pernah adakan sesi formal pun selama ni untuk sebarang seminar atau kursus. Yang ada dibuat selama ni hanyalah sesi 'Personal Coaching' dan 'Live Trade'. Masa sesi tu lah sedaya upaya pengetahuan dan pengalaman dikongsi dengan para peserta. Nota pun mereka catat sendiri! Pun begitu, kami memang bantu 'setting up' untuk platform dan 'system templates'.

Kenapa ye tiada bahan-bahan pembelajaran diberi secara terus?

He.. He..

PERTAMANYA, sebab kami memang tak sempat nak prepare kerana kami sendiri adalah full-time daily traders.

KEDUANYA, kerana semua sesi 'Personal Coaching' dan 'Live Trade' yang dibuat adalah PERCUMA, FOC, GRATIS, etc.. Paling-paling pun trainees cuma belanja Mee Bandung dan Milo Tarik dan duit minyak/ tol kalau jauh sampai Penang dan Terengganu. Kadang-kadang, kami sendiri yang belanja trainees! GST pun kami serap.. He.. He.. Setakat ni la. Tak tahu la pula di masa-masa akan datang dah terpaksa jadi non-gratis pula sebab sememangnya coaching pun actually sedikit-sebanyak ambil masa 'periuk nasi' kami. Iyelah, bila terpaksa beri tumpuan pada trainees, confirm fokus trading pun 'lari' sedikit-sebanyak. Tak percaya cuba tanya otai-otai kat luar sana yang memang intensively running classes, seminars, coaching sessions and live trade sessions.

So, itu lah makluman saya kepada para readers berkaitan yang budiman.

Anyway, saya mungkin akan mempertimbangkan cadangan seorang reader yang minta saya buat Analisa Harian dan Mingguan selain 'Daily Signal' untuk diposkan ke dada traderlog ini. InsyaALLAH, akan saya usahakan dalam masa yang terdekat. Semoga bermanfaat.

Buat saudara-saudara dan saudari-saudari yang jauh, terutama dari Langkawi (Sdra Rafidi), Kelantan (Cikgu Azlanee) dan Brunei (Bro Alimin), terima kasih atas kesungguhan yang ditunjukkan. Jika benar-benar berminat, mungkin kita boleh uruskan sesuatu buat geng-geng kat sana. InsyaALLAH. 

Sampai jumpa lagi... Selamat bertrading...

Tips... market sedang cantik sekarang.. insyaALLAH bullish bias untuk kebanyakan major pairs.. EJ, EU, GJ, GU, AU dan Gold... Trade at your own risk!

WALLAHu A'lam.

= Salam Nelayan =

Reactions: 

Daily Signal - 20150416

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 4/16/2015 09:10:00 AM 0 comments

XAU/USD (Gold)

Pending Entry 1
Long Buy at 1210.00
TP: 1212.50 (250 pips)

Pending Entry 2
Short Sell at 1195.50
TP: 1193.00 (250 pips)


* please apply proper money management since no SL is imposed

Reactions: 

Daily Signal - 20150415

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 4/15/2015 08:57:00 AM 0 comments



Reactions: 

Daily Signal - 20150414

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 4/14/2015 09:59:00 AM 0 comments




Reactions: 

Daily Signal - 20150413

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 4/13/2015 08:14:00 AM 0 comments




Reactions: 

Daily Signal - 20150410

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 4/10/2015 09:56:00 AM 0 comments




Reactions: 

Daily Signal - 20150409

Posted by Nelayan Forex On 4/09/2015 01:03:00 PM 0 comments



Reactions: 
    JUTAWAN FOREX at INSTAFOREX GRAND DINNER Kuala Lumpur, 2012 HUKUM FOREX by USTAZ AHMAD DUSUKI ABDUL RANI Masjid Negeri Selangor, Kuliah 11 April 2013

    (c)Mataf.net Forex and Forex Volatility

    (c)Mataf.net Forex and Forex correlation
    All rights reserved, 2010-2015. Concept and experience contents by Nelayan Forex Traderlog. Powered by Blogger.

      Forex Trading by DailyForex.com

    ..

    ..